I started to answer back HD-DVD fans in this post but decided to use my blog instead. Also, I would be able to write an updated version of Why Blu-Ray Will Win The Format War with the latest information. Now for the points:
- Adult industry won't decide this time around. But Digital Playground, the biggest in adult HD-DVD, started to release movies in Blu-Ray now. Not enough HD-DVD sales?
- Sales of movies was won 52 week in a row by Blu-Ray with 2:1 up to 3:1 advantage some weeks.
- It was not a last grabbed of money like HD-DVD fans think during the last holiday seasons. Warner gave a chance for HD-DVD fans to increased movie sales before the holidays. They did not buy enough movies thus the decision. I'm a businessman and that's what I would had done. If sales would had meet a certain minimum of expectation, I'm sure Warner would had waited another few months before taking any decision. People may had bought a $99 players but did they buy a lot of HD-DVD movies with the money saved on the hardware? Apparently not enough.
- Except for a few, most people don't care much for extras that both camps offers. They just want to watch the movie in HD. Heck! I don't care much either now. It's fun for my favorite movies but I don't have time for all movies.
- I do agree that HD-DVD was in advance(Internet feature) for a while but Blu-Ray is now keeping up with newer profiles and speed. The quality of video will be on the Blu-Ray side because of the capacity of the media. The question is: Is the same movie encoded to fit HD-DVD (30GB) and then encoded again to fit the higher size of Blu-Ray(50GB) and with an higher bitrate or just use the same encoding? The HD-DVD 51GB don't count because it's not out now. Blu-Ray has a 100GB in labs too.
- Retailers may decide now. Read "A Retail Perspective on the Format War". It's a good read and point of view.
- Paramount received money($150M) at the end of the last summer to go HD-DVD exclusive. If Warner did, which they said they did not, then it's even.
- Yes, Paramount is big but the Blu-Ray camp is now 70 % of the market. Content is king and Blu-Ray has the advantage of even more movies with Warner. I'm sure now that Paramount is now checking for an exit clause on the $150M contract hoping it won't cost too much.
- HD-DVD will become a niche market for a year or 2 or until the end of the HD-DVD contract exclusivity. Blu-ray could still make a deal with HD-DVD(maybe in profile 3.0). But I would not buy a HD-DVD player now. HD-DVD fans with players can still rent movies instead of buying them.
- Selling the Ps3 40GB with a Spider-Man 3 let people know that it can play Blu-Ray movie too. With almost 2.7-3 million PS3 sold, some still don't know they can do that. Of course, not all PS3 are connected to a HDTV.
- Why would a manufacturer would want to make a HD-DVD player when Toshiba is selling it's player at a lost? Most prefer to make Blu-Ray players because they can make a profit at least.
- The $99 HD-DVD player was during the holidays and current price of players are very close for 1080P players. But HD-DVD players are still lower.
- Ray mentioned that Warner stocks closed on a lost. This was the trend in the last 5 days of trading. Sony did closed higher and Toshiba lower depending on the stock markets.
- Gates did not mentioned anything about HD-DVD in his CES keynote address. Will Microsoft focus on the download side and stop or do little promoting of HD-DVD? Being the biggest backer with money, I would expect some mentioned of it.
- They won't raised the price if only one format(Blu-Ray) exist(waiting for Universal/Paramount). You will then have the economy of scales because those on the fence will start to buy again. For example with movies, Resident Evil Extinction is sold in DVD at $24.99 and $34.99 in Blu-ray. 3:10 to Yuma is sold $19.99 and $27.99. That's the price I paid when I bought my first DVD and even paid higher. Paying $5 more for a Blu-Ray movie would be better at this time. In one year, I would expect to pay less because more PS3 and Blu-Ray players would had been sold.
- Two format can't work in this field unlike gaming consoles. Who owns a SACD or DVD-Audio?
Keywords: Business, High definition, Money, Movie, Playstation 3, Technology